Conference Programme
Copyright notice
© University of Exeter 2008 all rights reserved
All rights, including copyright and other intellectual property rights in all material on the website (including without limitation photographs and graphical images) are owned or controlled by the University of Exeter or its licensors.
In accessing these web pages, you agree that you may only download the content for your own personal non-commercial use.
Except where expressly stated otherwise, you are not permitted to copy, broadcast, download, store (in any medium), transmit, show or play in public, adapt or change in any way the content of these web pages for any other purpose whatsoever without the prior written permission of the University of Exeter or its licensors.
This site may contain opinions and statements of various content providers. The University of Exeter neither endorses nor gives any warranty in relation to the accuracy or reliability of any opinions, statements or other information provided by any content provider and reliance upon any such opinion, statement, or other information shall be at your own risk.
View abstracts by theme
- Improving predictions of climate change >>
- Climate change impacts and ecosystem services >>
- Technology for adaptation and mitigation >>
- Policy responses and behavioural change >>
- Coupled human - environment system >>
Monday 22 September
View Video presentation and linked slides for Monday 22 September by clicking on the links by each name below >>
| 10.00 | Registration opens / check in to on-campus accommodation |
| 13.00 | Lunch |
| 14.30 | Conference opening and welcome followed by |
14.45 |
Opening Address Professor Sir Brian Hoskins, member of the Committee on Climate Change View abstract >> View presentation >> |
| 15.10 | Questions and Answers |
| 15.20 | Dr Richard Betts, Head of Climate Impacts, Met Office Hadley Centre From emissions to impacts – the need for the big picture View abstract >> View presentation >> |
| 15.45 | Questions and Answers |
| 16.00 | Break |
| 16.30 | Invited keynote Dr Yvan Biot, Senior Policy Adviser, Department for International Development (DfID) Adapting development and development assistance to climate change impacts: short and long term challenges View abstract >> View presentation >> |
| 16.55 | Questions and Answers |
| 17.00 | Invited keynote Professor Martin Parry, Co-chairman IPCC Working Group II (Impacts, Adaption and Vulnerability). Key impacts: those inevitable and those avoidable. View abstract >> Awaiting permission to publish presentation |
| 17.25 | Questions and Answers |
| 17.30 | Invited keynote Dr Myles Allen, Head of the Climate Dynamics Group at University of Oxford's Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics Department. How do observations constrain forecast climate? View abstract >> View presentation >> |
| 17.55 | Questions and Answers |
| 18.00 | Finish |
| 18.15 | Networking bar |
| 19.30 | Dinner |
Tuesday 23 September
| 09.00 | Invited keynote Dr Mark New, School of Geography, Centre for the Environment, University of Oxford. To couple or not to couple? Issues of scale and uncertainty in modelling coupled climate-societal systems. View abstract >> |
| 09.25 | Invited keynote Professor Kevin Anderson, Research Director of Tyndall-Manchester Energy and Climate Change programme. Reframing climate change: from long-term targets to short-term emission pathways. View abstract >> |
| 09.50 | Invited keynote Dr Emma Tompkins, School of Earth Environment, University of Leeds. Public responses to climate change. View abstract >> View presentation notes (pdf) >> |
| 10.15 | Invited keynote Professor Neil Adger, Professor in Environmental Economics, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia. Adaptation and transformation in response to climate change. View abstract >> |
| 10.40 | Questions and Answers |
| 11.00 | Break |
Each of the following parallel sessions will compose of a series of 15 minute presentations with 5 minutes Q&A after each presentation. |
| Parallel Session: Improving Predictions of Climate Change | Parallel Session: Policy Responses and Behavioural Change | |
| 11.30 | E. Hawkins, R. Sutton: Walker Institute, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading. The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
S. Barr (1), T. Coles (2), G. Shaw (2): (1) Department of Geography, University of Exeter (2) University of Exeter Business School.Changing Behaviours for a Changing Climate: a lifestyles approach. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 11.50 | D.Stainforth, University of Exeter.Categories of Uncertainty and their Implications for Adaptation Planning. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
A.Rabinovich (1), T.Morton (1), T. Postmes (2), B.Verplanken (3): (1) University of Exeter, UK (2) University of Groningen, the Netherlands (3) University of Bath, UK. Collective self and individual choice: Inter-group comparisons affect environmental values and behaviour. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 12.10 | B. Booth, Metoffice Hadley Centre, UK. Predictions of climate change utilizing perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
S. Mander (1), S. Randles (2), A. Bows (1): (1) The Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, The University of Manchester (2) The Institution for Innovation Research, The University of Manchester.“I will have a conscience but I won't not go to Miami” – drivers for growth of aviation emissions and implications for emissions reduction. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 12.30 | J. Lowe (1), T.N, Reeder (2), K, Horsburgh (3), V. Bell (4): (1) Met Office Hadley Centre, (2) Environment Agency, (3) Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory. (4) Centre for Ecology & Hydrology. Climate Change research and the TE2100 Project. View abstract >> Awaiting permission to publish presentation |
S. Fudge, Y. Mulugetta, M. Peters: Research Group on Lifestyles, Values and the Environment (RESOLVE), University of Surrey. Negotiating the Macro and the Micro Policy Terrain towards a Low-Carbon Economy. View abstract >> Awaiting permission to publish presentation |
| 12.50 | L. Mercado (1), N. Bellouin (2), O. Boucher (2), P. Cox (3), C. Huntingford (4), S. Sitch (2): (1) Climate and Land-Surface Systems Interaction Centre (CLASSIC), Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (2) Met Office, Hadley Centre (3) Climate and Land-Surface Systems Interaction Centre (CLASSIC), School of Engineering, Computer Science and Mathematics, University of Exeter, (4) Centre for Ecology & Hydrology. Modelling the impact of radiation changes on the terrestrial carbon sink over the 1900-2100 period. View abstract >> Awaiting permission to publish presentation |
L. Whitmarsh, S. O'Neill: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia. Carbon off-setting behaviour: catalyst for - or evasion of - low-carbon lifestyles? View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 13.10 | Lunch | Lunch |
| 13.45 | Invited Keynote Dr Hermann Held, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. Economic Feasibility of a 2° Target and potential Impacts of Mitigation Options. View abstract >> View presentation >> |
| 14.10 | Invited keynote Ms Sari Kovats, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medecine. Global climate change and global health: can we estimate climate change attributable mortality? View abstract >> |
| 14.35 | Invited keynote Professor Leonard Smith, Director, Centre for the Analysis of Time Series, London School of Economics & Political Science. Improving Predictions of Climate Change: living with an inconvenient ignorance View abstract >> |
| 15.00 | Questions and Answers |
| 15.15 | Break |
Each of the following parallel sessions will compose of a series of 15 minute presentations with 5 minutes Q&A after each presentation. |
| Parallel Session: Improving Predictions of Climate Change / Coupled Human-Environment System | Parallel Session: Policy Responses and Behavioural Change | |
| 15.40 | C. Turney (1), P. Reimer (2), M. Baillie (2) D. Brown (2) and Jonathan Palmer (3): (1) School of Geography, Archaeology and Earth Resources, University of Exeter (2) School of Geography, Archaeology and Palaeoecology, Queen's University Belfast (3) Gondwana Tree-Ring Laboratory, Canterbury, New Zealand.Testing Solar Forcing of Pervasive Holocene Climate Cycles and Societal Response. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
O. Watts, Sustainable Development Department, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds. Climate change, wildlife and adaptation. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 16.00 | M. P. McCarthy, M. J. Best, R. A. Betts, M. Hendry: Met Office, Hadley Centre. Climate Change and the Urban Heat Island. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
P. Berry, J.S. Paterson , MACIS partners: Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford. Mitigation, adaptation and the threats and opportunities for biodiversity. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 16.20 | M. Joshi (1), S. Fueglistaler (2): (1) Walker Institute for Climate System Research, University of Reading (2) Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge. The impact of stratospheric water vapour increases in the 21st century on extratropical weather and climate. View abstract >> Awaiting permission to publish presentation |
L. A. Naylor (1), J. Holmes (2): (1) Dept of Geography, University of Exeter (2) Dept of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford. Climate change impacts research: Examining the roles of boundary organisations at the science: policy interface. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 16.40 | J. Lowe (1), T.N, Reeder (2), K, Horsburgh (3), V. Bell (4): (1) Met Office Hadley Centre, (2) Environment Agency, (3) Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory. (4) Centre for Ecology & Hydrology. Using the new TE2100 science scenarios . View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
M.B.Charlton, N.W.Arnell: Walker Institute, University of Reading. Adapting to climate change impacts on water resources in England and Wales – an assessment of draft water resources management plans. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 17.00 | Evan Fraser (1), Andrew Challinor (1), Elisabeth Simelton (1): School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds.
School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds. Combining bio-physical and socio-economic drivers in food production models. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
M. Mortimer, P. Kumar, E. Maltby: The Institute for Sustainable Water, Integrated Management and Ecosystem Research, University of Liverpool. Ecosystem services, vulnerability and risk assessment in adaptation measures to climate change : developing coping mechanisms from an Indian perspective. View abstract >> Awaiting permission to publish presentation |
| 17.20 | M. O'Malley, J. Dupre: ESRC Centre for Genomics in Society (Egenis), University of Exeter. Climate Change from A Microbial Point of View. |
| 17.40 | Finish |
| 18.30 | Poster session and Drinks Reception |
| 19.45 | Gala Dinner |
Wednesday 24 September
| 09.00 | Invited keynote Professor Ken Norris, Director, Centre for Agri-Environmental Research. Biodiversity and climate change – moving beyond the climate envelope. View abstract >> |
| 09.25 | Invited keynote Dr Sietse O. Los, University of Wales, Swansea. Observational evidence for links between land-cover change and drought severity. View abstract >> |
| 09.50 | Questions and Answers |
Each of the following parallel sessions will compose of a series of 15 minute presentations with 5 minutes Q&A after each presentation. |
| Parallel session: Climate change impacts on ecosystem services | Parallel session: Policy Responses and Behavioural Change / Technology for adaptation and mitigation | |
| 10.00 | P.A. Harrison (1), T.P. Dawson (2), M.D.A. Rounsevell (3), R. Harrington (4) and RUBICODE partners: (1) Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University Centre for the Environment (2) School of Geography, University of Southampton (3) Centre for the study of Environmental Change and Sustainability, University of Edinburgh (4) Department of Plant and Invertebrate Ecology, Rothamsted Research. A conceptual framework for assessing the impacts of environmental change on ecosystem services. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
WITHDRAWN I. Bailey, G. Wilson: School of Geography, University of Plymouth. Theorising transitional pathways in response to climate change: technocentrism, ecocentrism and the carbon economy. |
| 10.20 | Ana Lopez, Fai Fung , Mark New: OUCE,Oxford University. From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts: A case study of water resource management in the South West of England. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
C.Shaw: School of Social Sciences and Cultural Studies, University of Sussex. The dangerous limits of dangerous limits; quantifying the climate change risk. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 10.40 | C. Huntingford (1), S. Sitch(2): (1) Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (2) Met Office Hadley Centre. IMOGEN: a tool for assessing the impacts of global climate change. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
C. Cowan (1), D. Thompson (1), D. Viner (2: (1) Natural England (2) British Council, London. Developing sustainable adaptation responses: a framework for integrated delivery. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 11.00 | Break | Break |
| 11.30 | M.D. Morecroft, Centre for Ecology & Hydrology. Adapting biodiversity conservation to climate change. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
A. Bows: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Mechanical Civil & Aerospace Engineering, University of Manchester. Climate change & carbon budgets: the contribution of international transport emissions. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 11.50 | R. J. Nicholls(1), J. Lowe(2), S. Hanson (1), R. S.J. Tol (3): 1 School of Civil Engineering and the Environment and Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Southampton, 2 Hadley Centre (Reading Unit), Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, 3 Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin. Sea-level rise: assessing the benefits of future policy. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
J. McDonald: National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, Griffith University, Australia. Adapting law to climate change impacts. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 12.10 | A. A. Javadi, A. Bello- Dambatta, M. M. Nezhad: Computational Geomechanics Group, School of Engineering, Computing and Mathematics, University of Exeter. The effect of climate change on contaminant fate and transport. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
A. J. Challinor: University of Leeds. Developing adaptation options using ensemble climate and crop yield forecasting. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 12.30 | P.J. Mumby (1), H.J. Edwards (1), C. Mark Eakin (2), D.G. Hodgson (1), S. Townley (3): (1)School of BioSciences, University of Exeter (2) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA (3) School of Engineering, Computing and Mathematics, University of Exeter. Managing the resilience of coral reefs in the face of rising sea temperature. View abstract >> Awaiting permission to publish presentation |
Suraje Dessai (1,2), Mike Hulme (1,2), Rob Lempert (3) and Roger Pielke, Jr. (4): 1 Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, UK, 2 School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK, 3 RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California, USA, 4 Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado, USA. Climate prediction: a limit to adaptation? View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 12.50 | R.J. Wilson, Centre for Ecology and Conservation, School of Biosciences, University of Exeter. Climate change and habitat loss: combined drivers of the richness and composition of ecological communities. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
R Dawson(1) J Hall(1) C Walsh(1) S Barr(1) A Ford(1) A Dagoumas(2) J Kohler(2) M Batty(3) S Evans(3) S Carney(4) H Watters(5) M Tight(5) A Zanni(6) A Bristow(6): (1) Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Civil Engineering and Geoscience, Newcastle University (2) Cambridge University Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge (3) University College London Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis (4)Manchester University Tyndall Centre Manchester (5) Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds (6) Loughborough University Department of Civil and Building Engineering, Loughborough University. Climate change and cities: integrated assessment of imapcts, adaptation and mitigation. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
| 13.10 | B. Booth (1), G. Harris (1), C. Huntingford (2), S. Sitch (1), C. D. Jones (1), M. Collins (1): (1) Metoffice Hadley Centre, UK (2) Centre for Ecology & Hydrology. Amazon collapse in the next century: exploring the sensitivity to climate and model formulation uncertainties. View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> |
D.Coley, Centre for Energy and the Environment, University of Exeter. The Impact of Climate Change in Schools: Overheating View abstract >> View presentation (pdf) >> View notes (pdf) >> |
| 13.30 | Lunch | Lunch |
| 14.30 | Invited keynote Professor Paul Moorcroft, Dept. of Organismic & Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University. How close are we to a predictive science of the biosphere? View abstract >> |
| 14.55 | Invited keynote Professor Yadvinder Malhi, Professor of Ecosystem Science, Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford. Climate change in the amazonian social ecological system View abstract >> |
| 15.20 | Closing Address Professor Peter Cox, Met Office Chair in Climate System Dynamics University of Exeter. View abstract >> |
| 15.45 | Comments from the floor |
| 16.00 | Finish |