Latest publications
Reed J. (2025). The role of innovation in artificial intelligence for place-sensitive environmental policy and practice. British Academy. The role of innovation in artificial intelligence for place-sensitive environmental policy and practice, The British Academy. DOI.
Treloar, G., Reed J., Willett, J., & Wills, J. (2025) Pioneering place-sensitive nature recovery at the hyper-local scale: a multi-tier, multi-directional governance approach, The British Academy. DOI.
Silvestro, D., Goria, S., Groom B., Sterner, T. Antonelli, A. (2025) The 30 by 30 biodiversity commitment and financial disclosure: metrics matter, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability – Article. DOI.
Bateman IJ. (2025) The hidden costs of so-called ‘nature friendly farming, Science for Sustainable Agriculture – Article. DOI
Campos-González, J., Gadanakis, Y, Mancini M, Morello T, Sanders, T. and Bateman IJ (2025) Transforming arable and dairy farming systems to address the demand for sustainable profitability, environment and diets, Cogent Food & Agriculture.
Reed J, Wills, J., Willett, J., Treloar, G., Bateman IJ, & Osborne, J. (In press). Nature recovery and regional development: An emerging agenda for England's rural-periphery and regional studies. Regional Studies.
West T, Alford-Jones K, Delacote P, Fearnside PM, Filewod B, Groom B et al (2025) Demystifying the Romanticized Narratives About Carbon Credits From Voluntary Forest Conservation. Global Change Biology - 31(10), e70527 - October 2025.
Douglas I.K., Meier, S et al (2025) State of Wildfires 2024–2025. Earth System Science Data -17(10), 5377-5488 - October 2025 DOI.
Groom B, Milner-Gulland EJ, Butler A (2025) Local people’s preferences for housing development-associated Biodiversity Net Gain in England. Land Use Policy - Article - Vol. 158, 107758 - November 2025. DOI.
Balmford B, Day BH, Bateman IJ, Smith G (2025) Incentivising Efficient Effort When Monitoring Individuals Is Costly. Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists - Article. DOI.
Bateman IJ, Espinola-Arredondo A, Munro A, Schumacher, I (2025). Understanding the National and International Impacts of Recent Environmental Policy Changes in the US: A Call for Research. Environmental & Resource Economics, 22 July 2025. DOI.
Morello T, Gadanakis Y, Campos-González J, Mancini M, Howe K, Tingley D, Manchi R, Sanders T, Wilson R, Bateman IJ (2025). Sequestering carbon without reducing food production: The role of recirculating aquaculture systems. Ecological Economics, Nov 2025, DOI.
Barros, P.H.B, Chimeli AB (2025). Can economic development and forest conservation coexist? Revisiting growth and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. World Development (Vol. 195), DOI.
Xin W, Grant L, Groom B, Zhang C (2025). Noisy biodiversity: The impact of ESG biodiversity ratings on asset prices. Ecological Economics, Oct 2025. DOI.
Conte MN, Addicott ET, Millerhaller MM (2025). Scarcity, willingness to pay for species, and imperfect substitutability with market goods. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Sep 2025. DOI.
Delacote D, Chabé-Ferret S, Creti A, Duffy K, Elias M, Guizar-Coutiño A, Filewod B, Groom B, Kontoleon A, LeVelly G, L’Horty T, Missirian A & West T (2025). Restoring credibility in carbon offsets through systematic ex post evaluation. Nature Sustainability, July 2025. DOI.
Paletta J, Callegari C, Fiorini A, Dias F, Junior A & Barros, P.H.B (2025). The Amazon’s new oil frontier is a biodiversity bomb in the making. Nature Ecology & Evolution, July 2025. DOI.
Bateman IJ, Espinola-Arredondo A, Munro A (2025). A New Era of Data Availability for Environmental and Resource Economics Papers. Environmental & Resource Economics, June 2025. DOI.
Emogor CA, Wasser SK, Coad L, Balmford B, Ingram DJ, Wijesinghe A, Atsu BA, Bassey F, Ogu DS, Okafor N, Balmford A (2025). Pangolin hunting in southeast Nigeria is motivated more by local meat consumption than international demand for scales. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 13 Jun 2025. DOI.
Ball T, Balmford B, Balmford A, Rinaldo D, Visconti P, Brook B, Green R (2025). A general relationship between carrying capacity and extinction risk. Cambridge Open Engage, 26 May 2025. PAPER.
Williamson D, McKinley TJ, Xiong X, Salter JM, Challen R, Danon L, Youngman BD, McNeall D (2025). On real-time calibrated prediction for complex model-based decision support in pandemics: Part 1. medRxiv, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 19 May 2025. DOI.
Xu W, Williamson D, Hourdin F, Roehrig R (2025). Feature Calibration for Computer Models. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM), 25 Apr 2025. DOI.
Barros, P.H.B, Dias FG, Quintanilha JA, Grohmann CH (2025). Mapping oil palm expansion in the Eastern Amazon using optical and radar imagery. Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment, Apr 2025. DOI.
Salter JM, McKinley TJ, Xiong X, Williamson D (2025). Emulating computer models with high-dimensional count output. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences,13 Mar 2025. DOI.
Cho FHT, Aglonucci P, Bateman IJ, Lee CF, Lovett A, Mancini M, Rapti C, Day BH (2025). Resilient tree-planting strategies for carbon dioxide removal under compounding climate and economic uncertainties. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 3 Mar 2025. DOI.
Chung SH, Deopa N, Saxena K, Stone L (2025). Religiously inspired baby boom: evidence from Georgia. Journal of Population Economics, 27 Feb 2025. DOI.
Balmford A, Ball TS, Balmford B, Bateman IJ, Buchanan G, Cerullo G, d'Albertas F, Eyres A, Filewod B, Fisher B, Green JMH, Hemes KS, Holland J, Lam MS, Naidoo R, Pfaff A, Ricketts TH, Sanderson F, Searchinger TD, Strassburg BBN, Swinfield T, Williams DR (2025). Time to fix the biodiversity leak. Science, 13 Feb 2025. DOI.
Palmer C, Groom B, Sileci L, Langton S (2025). Biodiversity–food trade‐offs when agricultural land is spared from production. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 9 Feb 2025. DOI.
Silvestro D, Goria S, Groom B, Jacobsson P, Sterner T, Antonelli A (2025). Using artificial intelligence to optimize ecological restoration for climate and biodiversity. bioRxiv, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 6 Feb 2025. DOI.
Emogor CA, Ingram DJ, Balmford A, Fletcher RJ, Detoeuf D, Balmford B, Agbor DO, Coad L (2025). Predictors of Frequency and Success of Wild Meat Hunting Trips and Carcass Prices in an African Biodiversity Hotspot. Human Ecology, 25 Jan 2025. DOI.
Reed J, Beames SK, Macleod G (2025). Young people's networked constructions of nature: Evidence from a qualitative multiple case study in the United Kingdom. People and Nature, 21 Jan 2025. DOI.
Baker DJ, Nye C, Wheeler R, Masquelier C, Binner AR, Gaston KJ, Heard MS, Lobley M, Smith D, Maclean IMD (2025). Aligning strategic and participatory approaches to agri‐environment scheme design and implementation to enhance nature recovery outcomes. People and Nature, 19 Jan 2025. DOI.
Balmford A, Bateman IJ, Eyres A, Swinfield T, Ball TS (2025). Sustainable high-yield farming is essential for bending the curve of biodiversity loss. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 9 Jan 2025. DOI.
Binner AR, Addicott ET, Balmford B, Day BH, Mancini M, Williamson D, Bateman IJ (2025). Using the natural capital framework to integrate biodiversity into sustainable, efficient and equitable environmental-economic decision-making. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 9 Jan 2025. DOI.
Groom B, Venmans F (2025). The Social Value of Temporary Carbon Removals and Delayed Emissions. Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy, 1 Jan 2025. DOI.
Barros, P.H.B., Chimeli, A.B. (2025). The impacts of palm oil expansion on deforestation and economic activity in the eastern Amazon. Ecological Economics. DOI
Publications (2022-2024)
Mancini M, Collins, R.M., Addicott ET, Balmford B, Binner AR, Bull, J.W., Day BH, Eigenbrod, F., zu Ermgassen, S.O.S.E., Faccioli, M., Fezzi, C., Groom B., Milner-Gulland, E.J., Owen, N., Tingley D, Wright, E., Bateman IJ (2024) Biodiversity offsets perform poorly for both people and nature, but better approaches are available, One Earth, 7, 2165–2174, DOI.
Bateman IJ, Binner AR, Addicott ET, Balmford B, Cho, F.H.T., Daily, G.C., De-Gol, A., Faccioli, M., Ferguson-Gow, H., Fezzi, C., Ferrini, S., Gannon K, Groom B, Harwood, A., Hillier, J., Hulme, M.F., Lee, C.F., Liuzzo, L., Lovett, A., Mancini M, Matthews, R., Morison, J.I.L., Owen, N., Pearson, R., Polasky, S., Siriwardena, G., Smith, P., Snowdon, P., Tippett, P., Vetter, S., Vinjili, S. Vossler, C.A., Watson, R.T., Williamson D and Day BH. (2024) How to make land use policy decisions: Integrating science and economics to deliver connected climate, biodiversity and food objectives, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), 121 (49) e2407961121. DOI.
Day BH, Mancini M, Bateman IJ, Binner AR, Cho, F., de Gol, A., Ferguson-Gow, H., Fezzi, C., Lee, C., Liuzzo, L., Lovett, A., Owen, N., Pearson, R., Smith, G. (2024) Natural capital approaches for the optimal design of policies for nature recovery, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 379: 20220327, pp12 DOI.
Meier S, Strobl E, Elliott RJR. The impact of wildfire smoke exposure on excess mortality and later-life socioeconomic outcomes: the Great Fire of 1910. Cliometrica (2024): 1-64. DOI.
Jones MW, Meier S., et al. (2024) State of wildfires 2023–2024. Earth System Science Data 16.8: 3601-3685. DOI..
Drupp MA, Hänsel MC, Fenichel EP, Freeman M, Gollier C, Groom B, Heal GM, Howard PH, Millner A, Moore FC, et al (2024). Accounting for the increasing benefits from scarce ecosystems. Science, 383(6687), 1062-1064. Author URL. DOI.
Deopa N, Rinaldo D (2024). Quickest Detection of Ecological Regimes for Natural Resource Management. Environmental and Resource Economics, 87(5), 1327-1366. Abstract. DOI.
Delafield G, Smith GS, Day BH, Holland RA, Donnison C, Hastings A, Taylor G, Owen N, Lovett A (2024). Spatial context matters: Assessing how future renewable energy pathways will impact nature and society. Renewable Energy, 220 DOI.
Delacote P, L’Horty T, Kontoleon A, West TAP, Creti A, Filewod B, LeVelly G, Guizar-Coutiño A, Groom B, Elias M, et al (2024). Strong transparency required for carbon credit mechanisms. Nature Sustainability DOI.
Tedersoo L, Sepping J, Morgunov AS, Kiik M, Esop K, Rosenvald R, Hardwick K, Breman E, Purdon R, Groom B, et al (2024). Towards a co-crediting system for carbon and biodiversity. PLANTS PEOPLE PLANET, 6(1), 18-28. Author URL. DOI.
Faccioli M, Tingley D, Mancini M, Bateman IJ (2024). Who should benefit from environmental policies? Social preferences and nonmarket values for the distribution of environmental improvements. American Journal of Agricultural Economics DOI.
Bateman IJ, Anderson K, Argles A, Belcher C, Betts RA, Binner AR, Brazier RE, Cho FHT, Collins RM, Day BH, et al (2023). A review of planting principles to identify the right place for the right tree for ‘net zero plus’ woodlands: Applying a place-based natural capital framework for sustainable, efficient and equitable (SEE) decisions. People and Nature, 5(2), 271-301. Abstract. DOI.
Arcand J-L, Kumar SH, Hongler M-O, Rinaldo D (2023). Can one hear the shape of a target zone? Journal of Mathematical Economics, 107, 102852-102852. DOI.
Delafield G, Smith GS, Day BH, Holland R, Lovett A (2023). Correction to: the Financial and Environmental Consequences of Renewable Energy Exclusion Zones. Environmental and Resource Economics, 87(2), 399-400. DOI.
Balmford A, Brancalion PHS, Coomes D, Filewod B, Groom B, Guizar-Coutiño A, Jones JPG, Keshav S, Kontoleon A, Madhavapeddy A, et al (2023). Credit credibility threatens forests. Science, 380(6644), 466-467. Author URL. DOI.
Bateman IJ, Balmford A (2023). Current conservation policies risk accelerating biodiversity loss. Nature, 618(7966), 671-674. DOI.
Faccioli M, Zonneveld S, Tyler CR, Day BH (2023). Does local Natural Capital Accounting deliver useful policy and management information? a case study of Dartmoor and Exmoor National Parks. J Environ Manage, 327 Abstract. Author URL. DOI.
Argles APK, Robertson E, Harper AB, Morison JIL, Xenakis G, Hastings A, Mccalmont J, Moore JR, Bateman IJ, Gannon K, et al (2023). Modelling the impact of forest management and CO2-fertilisation on growth and demography in a Sitka spruce plantation. Sci Rep, 13(1) Abstract. Author URL. DOI.
Bateman IJ, Keeler B, Olmstead SM, Whitehead J (2023). Perspectives on valuing water quality improvements using stated preference methods. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 120(18) Abstract. Author URL. DOI.
Nesje F, Drupp MA, Freeman MC, Groom B (2023). Philosophers and economists agree on climate policy paths but for different reasons. Nature Climate Change, 13(6), 515-522. Abstract. DOI.
Groom B, Nesje F (2023). Philosophers reinforce economists’ support for climate change mitigation. Nature Climate Change, 13(6), 513-514. DOI.
Brouwer R, Powe N, Turner RK, Bateman IJ, Langford IH (2023). Public Attitudes to Contingent Valuation and Public Consultation1. Environmental Values, 8(3), 325-347. DOI.
Groom B (2023). Realising the social value of impermanent carbon credits. Nature Climate Change Abstract. DOI.
Balmford A, Keshav S, Venmans F, Coomes D, Groom B, Madhavapeddy A, Swinfield T (2023). Realizing the social value of impermanent carbon credits. Nature Climate Change, 13(11), 1172-1178. Abstract. DOI.
Delafield G, Smith GS, Day BH, Holland R, Lovett A (2023). The Financial and Environmental Consequences of Renewable Energy Exclusion Zones. Environmental and Resource Economics, 87(2), 369-398. Abstract. DOI.
Groom B (2023). The Social Value of Offsets. Nature DOI.
Knoke T, Hanley N, Roman-Cuesta RM, Groom B, Venmans F, Paul C (2023). Trends in tropical forest loss and the social value of emission reductions. Nature Sustainability, 6(11), 1373-1384. Abstract. DOI.
Howard PH, Sarinsky M, Bauer M, Cecot C, Cropper M, Drupp M, Freeman M, Gillingham KT, Gollier C, Groom B, et al (2023). US benefit-cost analysis requires revision. Science, 380(6647) Author URL. DOI.
Groom B, Palmer C, Sileci L (2022). Carbon emissions reductions from Indonesia’s moratorium on forest concessions are cost-effective yet contribute little to Paris pledges. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(5) Abstract. DOI.
Faccioli M, Law C, Caine C, Berger N, Yan X, Weninger F, Guell C, Day BH, Smith R, Bateman IJ, et al (2022). Combined carbon and health taxes outperform single-purpose information or fiscal measures in designing sustainable food policies. Nature Food, 3, 331-340. Abstract. DOI.
Law C, Berger N, Faccioli M, Caine C, Bateman IJ, Smith R (2022). Improving nutrition through carbon reduction policies: an online randomized experiment. European Journal of Public Health, 32(Supplement_3) DOI.
Deopa N, Fortunato P (2022). Language and the cultural markers of COVID-19. Soc Sci Med, 301 Abstract. Author URL. DOI.
Roulston M, Kaplan T, Day BH, Kaivanto K (2022). Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 12(10), 879-880. Author URL. DOI.
Groom B, Drupp MA, Freeman MC, Nesje F (2022). The Future, Now: a Review of Social Discounting. ANNUAL REVIEW OF RESOURCE ECONOMICS, 14, 467-491. Author URL. DOI.
Addicott ET, Fenichel EP, Bradford MA, Pinsky ML, Wood SA (2022). Toward an improved understanding of causation in the ecological sciences. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 20(8), 474-480. Abstract. DOI.
Chapters
Kim N, Wongsa-art P, Bateman IJ (2023). A New Model for Agricultural Land-Use Modeling and Prediction in England Using Spatially High-Resolution Data. In (Ed) Essays in Honour of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, Emerald, 291-317. DOI.
Fenichel EP, Milligan B, Porras I, Addicott ET, Arnasson R, Bordt M, Djavidnia S, Dvasrskas A, Goldman E, Grimsrud K, et al (2023). National Accounting for the Ocean and Ocean Economy. In Lubchenco J, Haugan PM (Eds.) The Blue Compendium from Knowledge to Action for a Sustainable Ocean Economy, Springer Nature, 279-307.
