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Global Systems Institute

GSI scientific working paper series

The GSI scientific working paper series publishes pieces intended for communicating relevant science to members of the academic and scientific communities, on the topic of global and earth systems governance. In particular, the intention is to offer an open-access repository for accessible but rigorously scientific working papers to promote the use of robust science in decision-making and in promoting sustainability with a systems perspective.

Information on the submission process is available on the GSI Policy Network website.

Is a solar future inevitable?

Femke J.M.M. Nijsse 1, Jean-Francois Mercure 1,2,3, Nadia Ameli 4, Francesca Larosa 4, Sumit Kothari 4, Jamie Rickman 4, Pim Vercoulen 1,5, Hector Pollitt 2,3

1 Global Systems Institute, Department of Geography, University of Exeter, UK; 2 Cambridge Centre for Energy, Environment and Natural Resource Governance, University of Cambridge, UK; 3 The World Bank, US; 4 Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, UK; 5 Cambridge Econometrics, Cambridge, UK. 

Correspondence to: f.j.m.m.nijsse@exeter.ac.uk

http://hdl.handle.net/10871/130502

GSI working papers solar August 2022 image

Evidence for a global electric vehicle tipping point

Aileen Lam 1,2, Jean-Francois Mercure 2,3,4

1Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Macao, E21 Taipa, Macau, China; 2Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resources Governance (C- EENRG), University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK; 3Global Systems Institute, Department of Geography, University of Exeter, EX4 4QJ, United Kingdom; 4Cambridge Econometrics, Cambridge, UK

Correspondence to: meimeilam@um.edu.mo

http://hdl.handle.net/10871/129774

Dynamic modelling shows substantial contribution of ecosystem restoration to climate change mitigation‌

Emma W. Littleton1,2, Kate Dooley3,4, Gordon Webb3, Anna B. Harper1,2, Tom Powell2, Zebedee Nicholls3,4, Malte Meinshausen3,4, Timothy M. Lenton2

1College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, EX4 4QJ, United Kingdom; 2Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, EX4 4QJ, United Kingdom; 3School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, 3010, Australia; 4Climate & Energy College, University of Melbourne, Parkville, 3010, Australia.

Correspondence to: e.w.littleton@exeter.ac.uk 

ORE http://hdl.handle.net/10871/127015

Dynamic modelling working paper image

Operationalising Positive Tipping Points towards Global Sustainability

Timothy M. Lenton1*, Scarlett Benson2, Talia Smith2, Theodora Ewer2, Victor Lanel2, Elizabeth Petykowski2, Thomas W. R. Powell1, Jesse F. Abrams1,3, Fenna Blomsma4, Simon Sharpe5,6

1Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QE, UK;2SYSTEMIQ, 69 Carter Lane, London, EC4V 5EQ, UK;3Institute for Data Science and Artificial Intelligence, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QE, UK;4Universität Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, Hamburg, Germany;5Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose, University College London, London, UK 6UK Government Cabinet Office, COP26 Unit, London, UK

Correspondence to: t.m.lenton@exeter.ac.uk

ORE http://hdl.handle.net/10871/126085

Operationalising positive tipping points working paper image

Risk-opportunity analysis for transformative policy design and appraisal

Scientific working paper series 1
Jean-Francois Mercure1,2,3* , Simon Sharpe4* , Jorge Vinuales2 , Matthew Ives5,6 , Michael Grubb7 , Hector Pollitt2,3 , Florian Knobloch2 , Femke Nijsse1

1 Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, UK 2 Cambridge Centre for Energy, Environment and Natural Resources Governance, University of Cambridge, UK 3 Cambridge Econometrics, Cambridge, UK 4 Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose, UCL, UK 5 Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK 6 Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford UK 7 Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, UK

Correspondence to: j.mercure@exeter.ac.uk and simonsharpe79@hotmail.com

Risk-opportunity analysis  wp image